KAMPALA – In Uganda, where university graduates are increasingly turning to boda-boda (motorcycle taxi) riding as a primary source of income, the economic, social, and political implications are profound. Finance Minister Matia Kasaija’s recent remarks, revealing that nearly half of the country’s one million boda-boda riders hold university degrees, reflect an underemployment crisis that has forced skilled individuals into low-skilled, informal employment. This trend not only underscores the challenges in Uganda’s labour market but also raises critical questions about the role of education, economic policies, and national development strategies as Uganda aims for middle-income status.
Economic Implications and Labour Market Realities
The phenomenon of university graduates engaging in informal, low-skilled employment is symptomatic of a structural disconnect between Uganda’s education system and the labour market’s demands. Despite an expanding pool of graduates, the economy has not generated a commensurate number of skilled jobs, forcing individuals to seek alternative livelihoods. Boda-boda riding, which requires minimal investment and provides quick, albeit modest, income, has become a lifeline for many. However, this form of underemployment leads to several economic inefficiencies:
Underutilisation of skills is a pressing issue, as graduates find themselves in roles that do not capitalise on their education. This results in a “brain waste,” where years of academic investment bring limited returns in terms of productivity and innovation.
The growth of the informal economy is another challenge. As more graduates turn to informal jobs like boda-boda riding, fewer individuals contribute to formal tax revenues, diminishing Uganda’s fiscal capacity to support public goods and services.
Economic development is also stifled when educated youth cannot participate in sectors that drive industrial growth. This limits Uganda’s progress toward becoming a middle-income economy, as the potential contributions of a skilled workforce remain untapped.
Social Implications and Impact on Social Mobility
Graduates resorting to informal jobs such as boda-boda riding reflect a broader crisis in social mobility. For many Ugandans, education has traditionally been seen as a path to upward mobility, but with limited skilled employment opportunities, this ideal is becoming elusive:
Disillusionment with Education: When university degrees do not translate into economic advancement, young people may start to question the value of higher education, potentially leading to lower enrolment rates and further limiting the educated workforce.
Delayed Family Formation and Socioeconomic Stability: Many graduates are unable to secure stable, well-paying jobs, which can delay key life milestones such as marriage and homeownership. The lack of financial stability among graduates can have ripple effects on family structures and community stability.
Rising Inequality: As graduates struggle to find suitable employment, the gap between skilled and unskilled workers blurs, potentially exacerbating social inequality and resentment towards elites perceived to have better access to lucrative opportunities.
Political Consequences and Governance Challenges
The youth unemployment crisis is also a political issue, as discontent among educated but underemployed youth can threaten national stability. Young people facing limited job prospects may turn to political movements that promise economic change, potentially destabilising the existing political order. Politically, underemployment among graduates has several implications:
- Increased Pressure on Government: Rising youth frustration places pressure on political leaders to create jobs quickly, which may prompt short-term economic policies that lack long-term sustainability.
- Potential for Political Mobilisation: Educated but frustrated youth are often at the forefront of political protests and activism. If unaddressed, their grievances could fuel opposition movements, challenging Uganda’s stability and governance.
Education System and Labour Market Mismatch
The high rate of graduate underemployment points to a misalignment between Uganda’s educational curriculum and the practical demands of its economy. Many university programs focus on theoretical knowledge with limited hands-on training, resulting in graduates who may lack the technical skills needed by the private sector. This mismatch between education and employment needs necessitates a re-evaluation of Uganda’s educational priorities, particularly in expanding vocational and technical training.
Finance Minister Kasaija’s suggestion to prioritise vocational and technical training, as well as investment in infrastructure to stimulate economic growth, aligns with these concerns. Strengthening vocational education could help align workforce skills with market demands, reducing dependency on informal jobs.
Policy and Strategic Recommendations
Investing in Vocational and Technical Education: Uganda’s labour market could benefit from a robust focus on vocational training, equipping young people with skills that meet current market demands. These programs should be designed in close collaboration with industry stakeholders to ensure relevance and practical utility.
Supporting Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs): Creating favourable conditions for SMEs, such as increased access to capital and simplified registration processes, can help generate jobs and absorb more graduates into formal employment. Programs like Emyooga and the Parish Development Model, which provide funds to small businesses, can be further strengthened to target young entrepreneurs.
Infrastructure Development: As suggested by Kasaija, infrastructure investment, including roads, energy, and digital connectivity, can create jobs in the short term while laying a foundation for long-term economic growth. Improved infrastructure can also attract private sector investment, fostering job opportunities across various sectors.
Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs): Engaging the private sector in skills development through internships, apprenticeships, and on-the-job training programs can bridge the gap between education and employment. PPPs can facilitate knowledge transfer and help young people gain relevant skills, thereby enhancing employability.
Streamlined Public Investment Management: As highlighted by Permanent Secretary Ramathan Ggoobi, effective management of public investment projects can enhance job creation. Ensuring that development projects are implemented efficiently and effectively can provide additional job opportunities and prevent resource wastage.
Conclusion: Path Forward for Sustainable Youth Employment
The reality of Uganda’s graduates taking on boda-boda riding as a last resort signals urgent challenges within the country’s economic and education systems. Addressing this issue will require a multifaceted approach, combining educational reform, targeted job creation initiatives, and improved public investment management. For Uganda to progress towards middle-income status and harness the potential of its young, educated workforce, the government must prioritise policies that align education with economic needs and create sustainable opportunities for skilled employment.
Only through coordinated efforts in vocational training, infrastructure investment, and efficient project management can Uganda offer meaningful employment to its youth, thereby safeguarding social mobility, enhancing economic growth, and ensuring long-term political stability.